Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.036675 0.039644 0.042761 0.046283 0.050157 0.054296 0.059058
2025-02-23 0.031952 0.036154 0.040813 0.046384 0.052888 0.060272 0.069334
2025-03-02 0.028781 0.033694 0.039371 0.046456 0.055120 0.065444 0.078786
2025-03-09 0.026068 0.031347 0.037646 0.045785 0.056117 0.068928 0.086216
2025-03-16 0.023798 0.029259 0.035954 0.044858 0.056529 0.071503 0.092486
2025-03-23 0.022126 0.027740 0.034789 0.044409 0.057388 0.074564 0.099486
2025-03-30 0.020711 0.026420 0.033743 0.043973 0.058139 0.077427 0.106328
2025-04-06 0.019306 0.025005 0.032452 0.043073 0.058124 0.079150 0.111586
2025-04-13 0.018567 0.024418 0.032209 0.043555 0.060021 0.083638 0.121194
2025-04-20 0.017737 0.023646 0.031650 0.043530 0.061148 0.087036 0.129378
2025-04-27 0.017176 0.023209 0.031516 0.044080 0.063120 0.091787 0.140032
2025-05-04 0.016412 0.022438 0.030858 0.043805 0.063803 0.094575 0.147710
2025-05-11 0.015727 0.021752 0.030294 0.043644 0.064666 0.097728 0.156327
2025-05-18 0.015040 0.021027 0.029631 0.043288 0.065186 0.100349 0.164254
2025-05-25 0.014493 0.020480 0.029198 0.043252 0.066197 0.103823 0.173960
2025-06-01 0.013831 0.019727 0.028416 0.042612 0.066166 0.105520 0.180574
2025-06-08 0.013162 0.018934 0.027532 0.041757 0.065710 0.106433 0.185778
2025-06-15 0.012647 0.018352 0.026944 0.041343 0.065964 0.108583 0.193496
2025-06-22 0.012169 0.017806 0.026386 0.040943 0.066204 0.110705 0.201325
2025-06-29 0.011625 0.017135 0.025598 0.040116 0.065641 0.111312 0.206156
2025-07-06 0.011393 0.016944 0.025568 0.040558 0.067347 0.116215 0.220212
2025-07-13 0.011075 0.016602 0.025276 0.040536 0.068204 0.119568 0.231339
2025-07-20 0.010883 0.016453 0.025291 0.041041 0.070052 0.124945 0.247355